الخميس، 25 مارس 2010

How to decide on which currency pair to trade: EUR/USD or GBP/USD

https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHQAdJXX5a78gat0rsS9UMBGlEsvQQd66MsCeNkmYkauFHZ56A5rrLXtymzLnlD7FsvQSwNBSEajJlwuQx_Gz6ssgx7AefLblKGn-LzEJBxf5tKuLSVLzDS50AJ-1TC6r4GuC0MV13pa4w/s1600/Currency+Exchange+%282%29.jpg

Many times, traders wonder "which pair is the better pick". I say, let the charts decide it for you and take all of the guess work out of it.

Since both the EUR/USD and GBP/USD have the USD in common, their differences are EUR and GBP. So if we got a "dollar move" they're both going to be affected some. However, the real difference comes in when you directly compare EUR to GBP and see which is the stronger/weaker currency.

You can do this by looking to the EUR/GBP pair. Right now, EUR/GBP is in an obvious downtrend. This can be seen by the red downtrend line below. It can be seen by the declining 50 day simple moving average (SMA). It can also be seen by the MACD being below the zero line and its lines crossing over to the downside. This can also be seen, most recently from it breaking down out of its upward correction (red circled area
Therefore, CLEARLY right now, the stronger of the two is the GBP/USD. So if you feel that these pairs are headed higher, then go with GBP/USD. Right now, GBP/USD's daily trend is upward, so that would be my pick.

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